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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Predictions & Stats 04 Mar 2026

  • Predictions 1X2
  • Under/Over 2.5
  • Both To Score
  • Handicap
Home team - Away team
1
×
2
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Chelsea
43
29
28
1
1 - 0
2.19
2.33
1 - 4
Home team - Away team
Under
Over
Betimate
Betimate
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
62.65
37.35
Under
2.19
1.25
Home team - Away team
No
Yes
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
57
43
No
1 - 0
2.19
2.13
Home team - Away team
Probability in%
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
57%
Away
0
1 - 0
2.19
1.13

Match Preview: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

As the excitement builds for the upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea in the English Premier League, we turn to betimate.com for insightful predictions on various match outcomes. Here, we break down four key criteria: the 1x2 betting odds, the Over/Under (OU) 2.5 goals, both teams to score, and the Asian Handicap.

1x2 Predictions

In the 1x2 betting market, the predictions reveal a fascinating outlook for the match. According to betimate.com:

  • Aston Villa (1) has a winning probability of 43.37%.
  • The likelihood of a draw (x) stands at 28.72%.
  • Chelsea (2) is predicted to win with a probability of 27.7%.

This suggests that Aston Villa may have a slight edge as the home team, but the match could be closely contested.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The Over/Under market provides additional insights into expected scoring. The predictions indicate:

  • The probability of the total goals exceeding 2.5 (Over) is 37.345%.
  • Conversely, the chance of total goals being under 2.5 is significantly higher, at 62.655%.

This data suggests that a low-scoring game might be on the cards, with defenses potentially taking the upper hand.

Both Teams to Score

Another important aspect to consider is whether both teams will find the back of the net. The predictions show:

  • The likelihood of both teams scoring (Yes) is estimated at 43.27%.
  • The probability of at least one team failing to score (No) is higher at 56.73%.

This indicates a stronger chance that one of the sides may struggle offensively during the match.

Asian Handicap

The Asian Handicap market sheds light on the relative strength and expected performance of both teams. The predictions indicate a home advantage for Aston Villa with a home handicap probability of:

  • 43.37%

This suggests that Aston Villa may be favored in the matchup with a slight edge provided by the home ground advantage.

All data and predictions presented in this article are sourced from betimate.com and are not influenced by traditional bookmakers. Fans and analysts alike will be eager to see how these predictions play out on match day!

Show More Show Less
  • Prediction 1X2
  • Over/Under
  • Handicap Asian
Odd
Drop
1
x
2
Betfair Money
1x2
8
2.70
3.50
2.61
Odd
Drop
Over
Under
Betfair Money
2.75
10
0.96
0.96
Odd
Drop
Home
Away
Betfair Money
0
6
0.99
0.93

Elo data of Aston Villa in England Premier League

Elo Win Lose Draw
1680 117 136 65

Elo data of Chelsea in England Premier League

Elo Win Lose Draw
1683 223 102 104

General Probability & odds

Market
Probability
Odd
Home win
43.37%
2.31
Draw
28.72%
3.48
Away win
27.7%
3.61
Under 2.5 Goals
62.55%
1.6
Over 2.5 Goals
37.24%
2.69
BTTS Yes
43.27%
2.31
BTTS No
56.52%
1.77

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Probability
2.04%
7.16%
17.98%
28.72%
23.98%
12.71%
4.84%

Probality by total goals

Total goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Probability
11.2%
24.52%
26.83%
19.57%
10.7%
4.66%
1.7%

Standings of both teams

PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1. Arsenal 70 32 21 7 4 62 - 24 38
2. Man City 64 31 19 7 5 63 - 28 35
3. Man Utd 55 32 15 10 7 57 - 45 12
4. Aston Villa 55 32 16 7 9 43 - 38 5
5. Liverpool 52 32 15 7 10 52 - 42 10
6. Chelsea 48 32 13 9 10 53 - 41 12
7. Brentford 47 32 13 8 11 48 - 44 4
8. Everton 47 32 13 8 11 39 - 37 2
9. Brighton 46 32 12 10 10 43 - 37 6
10. Sunderland 46 32 12 10 10 33 - 36 -3
11. Bournemouth 45 32 10 15 7 48 - 49 -1
12. Fulham 44 32 13 5 14 43 - 46 -3
13. Crystal Palace 42 31 11 9 11 35 - 36 -1
14. Newcastle 42 32 12 6 14 45 - 47 -2
15. Leeds 36 32 8 12 12 39 - 49 -10
16. Nottm Forest 33 32 8 9 15 32 - 44 -12
17. West Ham 32 32 8 8 16 40 - 57 -17
18. Tottenham 30 32 7 9 16 40 - 51 -11
19. Burnley 20 32 4 8 20 33 - 63 -30
20. Wolverhampton 17 32 3 8 21 24 - 58 -34
More [+]
  • Statistics
  • Lineups
  • LIVE Commentary
1
Goals
4
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Shots
15
4
On target
8
5
Off target
7
1
Saves
0
3
Corners
8
2
Fouls
1
10
Free kicks
13
1
Offsides
1
0
Penalties
0
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Yellow/red cards
0
0
Reds cards
0

Starting Lineups

23
Emiliano Martinez (Guard)
Filip Jorgensen (Guard)
12
2
Matty Cash (Defender)
Malo Gusto (Defender)
27
4
Ezri Konsa (Defender)
Wesley Fofana (Defender)
29
5
Tyrone Mings (Defender)
Trevoh Chalobah (Defender)
23
22
Ian Maatsen (Defender)
Jorrel Hato (Defender)
21
21
Douglas Luiz (Midfielder)
Reece James (Defender)
24
24
Amadou Onana (Midfielder)
Moises Caicedo (Midfielder)
25
10
Emiliano Buendia (Midfielder)
Cole Palmer (Midfielder)
10
31
Leon Bailey (Forward)
Enzo Fernandez (Midfielder)
8
27
Morgan Rogers (Forward)
Alejandro Garnacho (Forward)
49
11
Ollie Watkins (Forward)
Joao Pedro (Forward)
20

Substitutes

40
Marco Bizot (Guard)
Robert Sanchez (Guard)
1
12
Lucas Digne (Defender)
Benoit Badiashile (Defender)
5
14
Pau Torres (Defender)
Marc Cucurella (Defender)
3
3
Victor Lindelof (Defender)
Tosin Adarabioyo (Defender)
4
26
Lamare Bogarde (Midfielder)
Mamadou Sarr (Defender)
19
6
Ross Barkley (Midfielder)
Romeo Lavia (Midfielder)
45
19
Jadon Sancho (Forward)
Andrey Santos (Midfielder)
17
47
Alysson (Forward)
Liam Delap (Forward)
9
18
Tammy Abraham (Forward)
Marc Guiu (Forward)
38
No data

England Premier League Table

Pos # Team PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1 Arsenal 70 32 21 7 4 62 - 24 38
2 Man City 64 31 19 7 5 63 - 28 35
3 Man Utd 55 32 15 10 7 57 - 45 12
4 Aston Villa 55 32 16 7 9 43 - 38 5
5 Liverpool 52 32 15 7 10 52 - 42 10
6 Chelsea 48 32 13 9 10 53 - 41 12
7 Brentford 47 32 13 8 11 48 - 44 4
8 Everton 47 32 13 8 11 39 - 37 2
9 Brighton 46 32 12 10 10 43 - 37 6
10 Sunderland 46 32 12 10 10 33 - 36 -3
11 Bournemouth 45 32 10 15 7 48 - 49 -1
12 Fulham 44 32 13 5 14 43 - 46 -3
13 Crystal Palace 42 31 11 9 11 35 - 36 -1
14 Newcastle 42 32 12 6 14 45 - 47 -2
15 Leeds 36 32 8 12 12 39 - 49 -10
16 Nottm Forest 33 32 8 9 15 32 - 44 -12
17 West Ham 32 32 8 8 16 40 - 57 -17
18 Tottenham 30 32 7 9 16 40 - 51 -11
19 Burnley 20 32 4 8 20 33 - 63 -30
20 Wolverhampton 17 32 3 8 21 24 - 58 -34