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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Predictions & Stats 03 Dec 2025

Athletic Bilbao
W L W D L W
8th place
0

Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid

12/03/2025 18:00
San Mames Stadium
Spain La Liga
Real Madrid
D D D W L W
2nd place
3
  • Predictions 1X2
  • Under/Over 2.5
  • Both To Score
  • Handicap
Home team - Away team
1
×
2
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Spain La Liga SLL
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
34
28
38
2
0 - 1
2.46
2.63
0 - 3
Home team - Away team
Under
Over
Betimate
Betimate
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Spain La Liga SLL Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
55.54
44.46
Under
2.46
1.11
Home team - Away team
No
Yes
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Spain La Liga SLL Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
50
50
Yes
0 - 1
2.46
1.99
Home team - Away team
Probability in%
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Spain La Liga SLL Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
61%
Home
+1
0 - 1
2.46
1.22

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Preview: Key Predictions from Betimate

As the highly anticipated match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid approaches in La Liga, fans and analysts are keenly observing the predictions provided by Betimate.com. These insights offer a comprehensive look at the expected outcomes based on statistical data. Let's delve into the four key criteria: 1x2, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score, and Asian Handicap.

1x2 Predictions

The 1x2 betting market showcases the probabilities of the match outcome, with Athletic Bilbao being given a 34.14% chance of winning, a draw occurring at 27.21%, and Real Madrid favored to secure victory at 38.42%. These percentages reflect a relatively competitive match, indicating that while Real Madrid has the edge, Athletic Bilbao is not to be underestimated.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

In the Over/Under 2.5 goals market, the predictions suggest that there is a 44.455% likelihood of the total goals exceeding 2.5, while the Under option is favored at 55.545%. This data indicates that a low-scoring match might be on the cards, which could play a significant role in determining the overall strategy for both teams.

Both Teams to Score

The predictions for Both Teams to Score are nearly even, with a probability of 49.82% for 'Yes' and 50.18% for 'No'. This slim margin suggests uncertainty about whether both Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid will find the net during this encounter. Fans will be eager to see how offensive strategies unfold on the pitch.

Asian Handicap

Looking at the Asian Handicap market, the odds indicate a strong favor for Athletic Bilbao at 61.35% for a home win when considering a 1 percent handicap. This prediction may reflect the home advantage that Athletic Bilbao often enjoys at their stadium, making this a crucial aspect to consider for both bookmakers and bettors alike.

In summary, these predictions from Betimate.com provide valuable insights into the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid clash, outlining competitive probabilities and statistical reasoning. As the match day approaches, fans and analysts will be watching closely to see how these predictions play out on the field.

Show More Show Less
  • Prediction 1X2
  • Over/Under
  • Handicap Asian
Odd
Drop
1
x
2
Betfair Money
1x2
5
4.30
3.70
1.85
5% (147794.00$)
6% (167753.00$)
90% (2695960.00$)
Odd
Drop
Over
Under
Betfair Money
2.5
11
0.98
0.94
Odd
Drop
Home
Away
Betfair Money
0.5
3
1.04
0.88
24% (24403.10$)
76% (77198.50$)
0.75
6
0.82
1.10
60% (29917.90$)
40% (19672.90$)

Elo data of Athletic Bilbao in Spain La Liga

Elo Win Lose Draw
1629 217 160 146

Elo data of Real Madrid in Spain La Liga

Elo Win Lose Draw
1821 358 68 94

General Probability & odds

Market
Probability
Odd
Home win
34.14%
2.93
Draw
27.21%
3.68
Away win
38.42%
2.6
Under 2.5 Goals
55.43%
1.8
Over 2.5 Goals
44.34%
2.26
BTTS Yes
49.82%
2.01
BTTS No
49.95%
2

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Probability
4.22%
11.14%
21.45%
27.21%
19.95%
9.63%
3.4%

Probality by total goals

Total goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Probability
8.55%
21.03%
25.85%
21.18%
13.01%
6.38%
2.59%

Head to head

20.04.25
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
1-0
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Real Madrid
SLL
2-1
31.03.24
Real Madrid
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
2-0
12.08.23
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid
SLL
0-2
04.06.23
Real Madrid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
1-1
22.01.23
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid
SLL
0-2
Win
Draw
Lost

Standings of both teams

PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1. Barcelona 40 16 13 1 2 47 - 20 27
2. Real Madrid 36 15 11 3 1 32 - 13 19
3. Villarreal 35 15 11 2 2 31 - 13 18
4. Atletico Madrid 31 15 9 4 2 28 - 14 14
5. Real Betis 24 15 6 6 3 25 - 19 6
6. Espanyol 24 14 7 3 4 18 - 16 2
7. Getafe 20 15 6 2 7 13 - 17 -4
8. Athletic Bilbao 20 15 6 2 7 14 - 20 -6
9. CD Alaves 18 15 5 3 7 13 - 15 -2
10. Rayo Vallecano 17 14 4 5 5 13 - 15 -2
11. Elche 16 14 3 7 4 15 - 17 -2
12. Real Sociedad 16 15 4 4 7 19 - 22 -3
13. Celta Vigo 16 14 3 7 4 16 - 19 -3
14. Sevilla 16 14 5 1 8 19 - 23 -4
15. Mallorca 14 15 3 5 7 15 - 22 -7
16. Valencia 14 14 3 5 6 13 - 22 -9
17. Osasuna 12 14 3 3 8 12 - 18 -6
18. Girona 12 14 2 6 6 13 - 26 -13
19. Oviedo 10 15 2 4 9 7 - 22 -15
20. Levante 9 14 2 3 9 16 - 26 -10
More [+]

Athletic Bilbao Last matches

29.11.25
Levante
0-2
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
0-2
25.11.25
Slavia Prague
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
UCL
0-0
22.11.25
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
4-0
09.11.25
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Oviedo
SLL
1-0
05.11.25
Newcastle
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
UCL
2-0
01.11.25
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
3-2
25.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Getafe
SLL
0-1
22.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
3-1
FK Qarabag
UCL
3-1
19.10.25
Elche
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
0-0
04.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Mallorca
SLL
2-1
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Real Madrid Last matches

30.11.25
Girona
1-1
Real Madrid
SLL
1-1
26.11.25
Olympiacos
3-4
Real Madrid
UCL
3-4
23.11.25
Elche
2-2
Real Madrid
SLL
2-2
09.11.25
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Real Madrid
SLL
0-0
04.11.25
Liverpool
1-0
Real Madrid
UCL
1-0
01.11.25
Real Madrid
4-0
Valencia
SLL
4-0
26.10.25
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
SLL
2-1
22.10.25
Real Madrid
1-0
Juventus
UCL
1-0
19.10.25
Getafe
0-1
Real Madrid
SLL
0-1
04.10.25
Real Madrid
3-1
Villarreal
SLL
3-1
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Athletic Bilbao home matches

09.11.25
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Oviedo
SLL
1-0
25.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Getafe
SLL
0-1
22.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
3-1
FK Qarabag
UCL
3-1
04.10.25
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Mallorca
SLL
2-1
23.09.25
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Girona
SLL
1-1
16.09.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Arsenal
UCL
0-2
13.09.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
CD Alaves
SLL
0-1
25.08.25
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
SLL
1-0
17.08.25
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Sevilla
SLL
3-2
19.07.25
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Ponferradina
EF
1-0
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Real Madrid away matches

30.11.25
Girona
1-1
Real Madrid
SLL
1-1
26.11.25
Olympiacos
3-4
Real Madrid
UCL
3-4
23.11.25
Elche
2-2
Real Madrid
SLL
2-2
09.11.25
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Real Madrid
SLL
0-0
04.11.25
Liverpool
1-0
Real Madrid
UCL
1-0
19.10.25
Getafe
0-1
Real Madrid
SLL
0-1
30.09.25
Kairat Almaty
0-5
Real Madrid
UCL
0-5
27.09.25
Atletico Madrid
5-2
Real Madrid
SLL
5-2
23.09.25
Levante
1-4
Real Madrid
SLL
1-4
13.09.25
Real Sociedad
1-2
Real Madrid
SLL
1-2
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Athletic Bilbao home upcoming matches

10.12.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
PSG
UCL
0-0
14.12.25
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
0-0
22.12.25
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Espanyol
SLL
0-0
04.01.26
Osasuna
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
SLL
0-0
More

Real Madrid away upcoming matches

07.12.25
Real Madrid
0-0
Celta Vigo
SLL
0-0
10.12.25
Real Madrid
0-0
Man City
UCL
0-0
14.12.25
CD Alaves
0-0
Real Madrid
SLL
0-0
20.12.25
Real Madrid
0-0
Sevilla
SLL
0-0
04.01.26
Real Madrid
0-0
Real Betis
SLL
0-0
More
  • Statistics
  • Lineups
  • LIVE Commentary
0
Goals
3
38%
Ball Possession
62%
9
Shots
13
4
On target
8
5
Off target
5
3
Saves
4
5
Corners
7
11
Fouls
3
0
Injuries
2
1
Offsides
1
0
Penalties
0
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Yellow/red cards
0
0
Reds cards
0

Starting Lineups

1
Unai Simon (Guard)
Thibaut Courtois (Guard)
1
15
Inigo Lekue (Defender)
Trent Alexander-Arnold (Defender)
12
3
Dani Vivian (Defender)
Eder Militao (Defender)
3
14
Aymeric Laporte (Defender)
Antonio Rudiger (Defender)
22
19
Adama Boiro (Defender)
Alvaro Carreras (Defender)
18
16
Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta (Midfielder)
Eduardo Camavinga (Midfielder)
6
30
Alejandro Rego Mora (Midfielder)
Aurelien Tchouameni (Midfielder)
14
18
Mikel Jauregizar (Midfielder)
Jude Bellingham (Midfielder)
5
7
Alex Berenguer (Forward)
Federico Valverde (Midfielder)
8
10
Nico Williams (Forward)
Kylian Mbappe (Forward)
10
11
Gorka Guruzeta (Forward)
Vinicius Junior (Forward)
7

Substitutes

27
Alex Padilla (Guard)
Fran Gonzalez (Guard)
26
2
Andoni Gorosabel (Defender)
Andriy Lunin (Guard)
13
4
Aitor Paredes (Defender)
Francisco Garcia (Defender)
20
12
Jesus Areso (Defender)
Raul Asencio (Defender)
17
17
Yuri Berchiche (Defender)
Franco Mastantuono (Midfielder)
30
20
Unai Gomez (Midfielder)
Arda Guler (Midfielder)
15
44
Selton Sanchez (Midfielder)
Dani Ceballos (Midfielder)
19
6
Mikel Vesga (Midfielder)
Rodrygo (Forward)
11
48
Endika Bujan de Rueda (Forward)
Brahim Diaz (Forward)
21
22
Nico Serrano (Forward)
Endrick (Forward)
9
49
Eder Garcia (Forward)
Gonzalo Garcia (Forward)
16
25
Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (Forward)
No data

Spain La Liga Table

Pos # Team PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1 Barcelona 40 16 13 1 2 47 - 20 27
2 Real Madrid 36 15 11 3 1 32 - 13 19
3 Villarreal 35 15 11 2 2 31 - 13 18
4 Atletico Madrid 31 15 9 4 2 28 - 14 14
5 Real Betis 24 15 6 6 3 25 - 19 6
6 Espanyol 24 14 7 3 4 18 - 16 2
7 Getafe 20 15 6 2 7 13 - 17 -4
8 Athletic Bilbao 20 15 6 2 7 14 - 20 -6
9 CD Alaves 18 15 5 3 7 13 - 15 -2
10 Rayo Vallecano 17 14 4 5 5 13 - 15 -2
11 Elche 16 14 3 7 4 15 - 17 -2
12 Real Sociedad 16 15 4 4 7 19 - 22 -3
13 Celta Vigo 16 14 3 7 4 16 - 19 -3
14 Sevilla 16 14 5 1 8 19 - 23 -4
15 Mallorca 14 15 3 5 7 15 - 22 -7
16 Valencia 14 14 3 5 6 13 - 22 -9
17 Osasuna 12 14 3 3 8 12 - 18 -6
18 Girona 12 14 2 6 6 13 - 26 -13
19 Oviedo 10 15 2 4 9 7 - 22 -15
20 Levante 9 14 2 3 9 16 - 26 -10

Spain La Liga Top Scorers

#
Name
GA
PK
MP
MP
MPG
1
16
4
15
1308
82
2
8
1
12
639
80
3
8
2
14
1091
137
4
8
0
14
843
106
5
7
2
15
1122
161
6
6
0
14
1145
191
7
6
0
15
914
153
8
5
0
12
835
167
9
5
1
14
821
165
10
5
3
13
1139
228

Spain La Liga Fixtures

Elche
0 - 0
Girona
Valencia
0 - 0
Sevilla
Espanyol
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
0 - 0
Levante
Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0 - 0
Valencia
Mallorca
0 - 0
Elche
Barcelona
0 - 0
Osasuna
Getafe
0 - 0
Espanyol

Spain La Liga Results

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
3 - 5
Barcelona
CD Alaves
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
2 - 0
Getafe
Oviedo
0 - 0
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 3
Real Madrid
Barcelona
3 - 1
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Valencia
Girona
1 - 1
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Espanyol