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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Predictions & Stats 06 Feb 2026

Wellington Phoenix
D D W L W L
11th place
2

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory

02/06/2026 06:00
Wellington Regional Stadium
Australia A-League
Melbourne Victory
L L W D L L
5th place
3
  • Predictions 1X2
  • Under/Over 2.5
  • Both To Score
  • Handicap
Home team - Away team
1
×
2
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Australia A-League AA
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
40
30
30
1
1 - 0
2.19
2.5
2 - 3
Home team - Away team
Under
Over
Betimate
Betimate
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Australia A-League AA Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory
62.69
37.31
Under
2.19
1.25
Home team - Away team
No
Yes
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Australia A-League AA Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory
56
44
No
1 - 0
2.19
2.12
Home team - Away team
Probability in%
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Australia A-League AA Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory
60%
Away
0
1 - 0
2.19
1.19

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: A Comprehensive Match Preview

As the anticipation builds for the upcoming clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in the Australia A-League, we've gathered key statistical predictions to provide insights into the match's possible outcomes. All data and predictions are sourced from betimate.com and should not be considered as bookmaker odds.

1x2 Predictions

The 1x2 betting market, which covers three potential outcomes (home win, draw, and away win), shows an interesting distribution of probabilities. Wellington Phoenix is given a 40.54% chance of securing a victory, while Melbourne Victory has a slightly lower probability of 30.22% to claim the win. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is estimated at 29.05%. This suggests a tightly contested match where the home advantage could play a significant role.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The Over/Under market for total goals scored in the match indicates a strong inclination towards fewer goals. The probability of the total goals exceeding 2.5 is forecasted at 37.195%, whereas the chance that the total will remain under this threshold is significantly higher at 62.805%. This might suggest a defensive battle or a scenario where both teams struggle to find the back of the net.

Both Teams to Score

In the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market, there is a notable inclination towards a match where one or both sides may not find the back of the net. The prediction reveals a 43.63% chance that both teams will score, compared to a more considerable 56.37% probability that at least one team will blank. This trend aligns with the overall expectation of a low-scoring affair.

Asian Handicap

For the Asian Handicap betting market, Wellington Phoenix enters the match with a predicted probability of 40.54% of overcoming the spread. This signals that while they are favoured, the outcome remains uncertain, and the handicap can provide a more nuanced betting option for those looking to engage with this match.

As both teams prepare for what promises to be an intriguing encounter, these predictions can serve as a guide for fans and bettors alike. Remember, all data and predictions are provided by betimate.com, not by bookmakers.

Show More Show Less
  • Prediction 1X2
  • Over/Under
  • Handicap Asian
Odd
Drop
1
x
2
Betfair Money
1x2
12
3.45
3.95
1.96
6% (13319.50$)
6% (13294.00$)
88% (204406.00$)
Odd
Drop
Over
Under
Betfair Money
2.75
2
0.82
1.06
3
8
0.97
0.91
Odd
Drop
Home
Away
Betfair Money
0.25
1
1.06
0.84
0.5
12
0.95
0.95
0.75
9
0.79
1.11

Elo data of Wellington Phoenix in Australia A-League

Elo Win Lose Draw
1457 99 111 65

Elo data of Melbourne Victory in Australia A-League

Elo Win Lose Draw
1531 123 101 70

General Probability & odds

Market
Probability
Odd
Home win
40.46%
2.47
Draw
29.01%
3.45
Away win
30.33%
3.3
Under 2.5 Goals
62.59%
1.6
Over 2.5 Goals
37.21%
2.69
BTTS Yes
43.74%
2.29
BTTS No
56.06%
1.78

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Probability
2.43%
8.05%
19.18%
29.01%
23.07%
11.65%
4.23%

Probality by total goals

Total goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Probability
11.21%
24.54%
26.84%
19.57%
10.68%
4.66%
1.67%

Head to head

29.12.25
Melbourne Victory
5-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
5-1
12.04.25
Wellington Phoenix
2-3
Melbourne Victory
AU1
2-3
14.02.25
Melbourne Victory
1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
1-0
24.11.24
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
18.05.24
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-2
12.05.24
Melbourne Victory
0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
0-0
12.04.24
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
19.01.24
Wellington Phoenix
1-1
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-1
10.11.23
Melbourne Victory
1-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
1-1
01.04.23
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-2
Win
Draw
Lost

Standings of both teams

PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1. Newcastle Jets 30 16 10 0 6 37 - 28 9
2. Auckland FC 28 16 8 4 4 23 - 17 6
3. Sydney FC 25 15 8 1 6 22 - 15 7
4. Macarthur FC 25 17 6 7 4 24 - 23 1
5. Melbourne Victory 23 16 7 2 7 23 - 21 2
6. Adelaide United 23 16 7 2 7 26 - 26 0
7. Melbourne City 22 17 5 7 5 19 - 21 -2
8. Brisbane Roar 21 17 6 3 8 17 - 22 -5
9. Perth Glory 20 16 6 2 8 20 - 22 -2
10. Central Coast Mariners 19 16 5 4 7 21 - 24 -3
11. Wellington Phoenix 19 16 5 4 7 26 - 31 -5
12. Western Sydney Wanderers 16 16 4 4 8 13 - 21 -8
More [+]

Wellington Phoenix Last matches

30.01.26
Wellington Phoenix
2-2
Melbourne City
AU1
2-2
23.01.26
Newcastle Jets
4-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
4-1
18.01.26
Sydney FC
0-2
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
0-2
11.01.26
Wellington Phoenix
2-2
Adelaide United
AU1
2-2
03.01.26
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
0-3
29.12.25
Melbourne Victory
5-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
5-1
21.12.25
Wellington Phoenix
3-1
Central Coast Mariners
AU1
3-1
14.12.25
Wellington Phoenix
1-3
Newcastle Jets
AU1
1-3
06.12.25
Auckland FC
3-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
3-1
29.11.25
Wellington Phoenix
2-1
Adelaide United
AU1
2-1
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Melbourne Victory Last matches

01.02.26
Central Coast Mariners
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
26.01.26
Melbourne Victory
4-0
Sydney FC
AU1
4-0
17.01.26
Adelaide United
2-1
Melbourne Victory
AU1
2-1
10.01.26
Melbourne Victory
0-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
AU1
0-1
02.01.26
Melbourne Victory
3-2
Perth Glory
AU1
3-2
29.12.25
Melbourne Victory
5-1
Wellington Phoenix
AU1
5-1
20.12.25
Melbourne City
0-1
Melbourne Victory
AU1
0-1
13.12.25
Melbourne Victory
2-1
Adelaide United
AU1
2-1
05.12.25
Macarthur FC
0-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
0-0
28.11.25
Brisbane Roar
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Wellington Phoenix home matches

30.01.26
Wellington Phoenix
2-2
Melbourne City
AU1
2-2
11.01.26
Wellington Phoenix
2-2
Adelaide United
AU1
2-2
21.12.25
Wellington Phoenix
3-1
Central Coast Mariners
AU1
3-1
14.12.25
Wellington Phoenix
1-3
Newcastle Jets
AU1
1-3
29.11.25
Wellington Phoenix
2-1
Adelaide United
AU1
2-1
22.11.25
Wellington Phoenix
0-1
Macarthur FC
AU1
0-1
08.11.25
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
Auckland FC
AU1
1-2
26.10.25
Wellington Phoenix
2-1
Brisbane Roar
AU1
2-1
19.07.25
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Wrexham
WCF
1-0
14.05.25
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Brisbane Roar
AC
1-0
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Melbourne Victory away matches

01.02.26
Central Coast Mariners
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
17.01.26
Adelaide United
2-1
Melbourne Victory
AU1
2-1
20.12.25
Melbourne City
0-1
Melbourne Victory
AU1
0-1
05.12.25
Macarthur FC
0-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
0-0
28.11.25
Brisbane Roar
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
22.11.25
Sydney FC
3-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
3-0
31.10.25
Perth Glory
0-2
Melbourne Victory
AU1
0-2
24.10.25
Newcastle Jets
5-2
Melbourne Victory
AU1
5-2
29.07.25
Olympic Kingsway
4-3
Melbourne Victory
AC
4-3
31.05.25
Melbourne City
1-0
Melbourne Victory
AU1
1-0
Win
Draw
Lost
More

Wellington Phoenix home upcoming matches

13.02.26
Western Sydney Wanderers
0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AA
0-0
21.02.26
Wellington Phoenix
0-0
Auckland FC
AA
0-0
01.03.26
Wellington Phoenix
0-0
Sydney FC
AA
0-0
06.03.26
Adelaide United
0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AA
0-0
More

Melbourne Victory away upcoming matches

14.02.26
Melbourne Victory
0-0
Brisbane Roar
AA
0-0
21.02.26
Melbourne City
0-0
Melbourne Victory
AA
0-0
27.02.26
Melbourne Victory
0-0
Adelaide United
AA
0-0
07.03.26
Sydney FC
0-0
Melbourne Victory
AA
0-0
More
  • Statistics
  • Lineups
  • LIVE Commentary
2
Goals
3
57%
Ball Possession
43%
8
Shots
12
3
On target
6
5
Off target
6
2
Saves
2
6
Corners
7
2
Fouls
2
0
Injuries
1
2
Offsides
0
0
Penalties
0
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Yellow/red cards
0
0
Reds cards
0

Starting Lineups

30
Alby Kelly-Heald (Guard)
Jack Warshawsky (Guard)
40
6
Tim Payne (Defender)
Joshua James Rawlins (Defender)
22
4
Manjrekar James (Defender)
Sebastian Esposito (Defender)
15
15
Isaac Hughes (Defender)
Roderick Miranda (Defender)
21
28
Bill Tuiloma (Defender)
Jason Davidson (Defender)
2
8
Paulo Retre (Midfielder)
Denis Genreau (Midfielder)
10
25
Kazuki Nagasawa (Midfielder)
Jordi Valadon (Midfielder)
8
16
Sander Erik Kartum (Midfielder)
Juan Mata (Midfielder)
64
20
Ramy Najjarine (Midfielder)
Nishan Velupillay (Forward)
17
11
Carlo Armiento (Forward)
Reno Piscopo (Forward)
7
7
Eze Ifeanyi (Forward)
Charles Nduka (Forward)
44

Substitutes

40
Eamonn McCarron (Guard)
Jack Duncan (Guard)
25
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald (Defender)
Joshua Inserra (Defender)
16
3
Corban Piper (Defender)
Louis D'Arrigo (Midfielder)
27
39
Jayden Smith (Defender)
Matthew Grimaldi (Midfielder)
14
27
Matt Sheridan (Defender)
Keegan Jelacic (Midfielder)
23
5
Fin Conchie (Midfielder)
Nikos Vergos (Forward)
9
29
Luke Brooke-Smith (Midfielder)
Jing Reec (Forward)
19
No data

Australia A-League Table

Pos # Team PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1 Newcastle Jets 30 16 10 0 6 37 - 28 9
2 Auckland FC 28 16 8 4 4 23 - 17 6
3 Sydney FC 25 15 8 1 6 22 - 15 7
4 Macarthur FC 25 17 6 7 4 24 - 23 1
5 Melbourne Victory 23 16 7 2 7 23 - 21 2
6 Adelaide United 23 16 7 2 7 26 - 26 0
7 Melbourne City 22 17 5 7 5 19 - 21 -2
8 Brisbane Roar 21 17 6 3 8 17 - 22 -5
9 Perth Glory 20 16 6 2 8 20 - 22 -2
10 Central Coast Mariners 19 16 5 4 7 21 - 24 -3
11 Wellington Phoenix 19 16 5 4 7 26 - 31 -5
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 16 16 4 4 8 13 - 21 -8

Australia A-League Top Scorers

#
Name
GA
PK
MP
MP
MPG
1
7
0
16
1207
173
2
7
0
16
1337
191
3
7
1
15
957
137
4
6
2
17
831
139
5
6
0
16
1250
209
6
6
0
16
1297
217
7
6
1
17
1044
174
8
5
0
13
1031
207
9
5
0
16
1030
206
10
5
0
15
1208
242

Australia A-League Results

Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland FC
1 - 0
Sydney FC
Macarthur FC
2 - 2
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
2 - 1
Auckland FC
Sydney FC
4 - 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar