FK Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Predictions & Stats 10 Apr 2025

FK Jelgava

W D W D L L

7^th place

FK Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils

04/10/2025 14:30

Zemgales Olimpiskais Centrs

Latvia Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils

W L D D L D

3^rd place

Home team - Away team

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

FK Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 1

1.71

2.86

4 - 1

Home team - Away team

Under

Over

Betimate

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

LV FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils 04/10/2025 14:30

75.65

24.35

Under

1.71

1.51

Home team - Away team

Yes

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

LV FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils 04/10/2025 14:30

0 - 1

1.71

2.34

Home team - Away team

Probability in%

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

LV FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils 04/10/2025 14:30

65%

Home
+1

0 - 1

1.71

1.3

Match Preview: FK Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

As we approach the upcoming clash in the Latvian Virsliga between FK Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils, we present our predictions based on the analyzed criteria that may influence the outcome of this encounter. Below, we break down four key predictions: Match Result (1x2), Over/Under 2.5 Goals (OU), Both Teams to Score, and Asian Handicap.

1x2 Prediction

Our analysis shows a closely contested match with the following probabilities for the 1x2 outcome:

FK Jelgava to win: 31.42%
Draw: 33.96%
BFC Daugavpils to win: 34.5%

This indicates that neither team holds a significant advantage, with a fairly balanced expectation across all three outcomes.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals (OU) Prediction

When it comes to goal-scoring potential, our predictions lean towards a lower-scoring affair:

Over 2.5 Goals: 24.35%
Under 2.5 Goals: 75.65%

These figures suggest that we expect fewer than three goals to be scored in the match, reflecting a more defensive approach from both teams.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Regarding the likelihood of both teams finding the net, our predictions indicate a lower chance:

Yes (Both Teams to Score): 32.79%
No (Both Teams to Score): 67.21%

This suggests that we anticipate one or both teams might struggle to score, reinforcing the notion of a potentially tight defensive battle.

Asian Handicap Prediction

Finally, when it comes to the Asian Handicap, the predictions indicate a significant lean towards the home team:

Home 1 Percent: 65.38%

This suggests that FK Jelgava holds a notable advantage according to the Asian Handicap, indicating they are favored to perform well in this contest.

In conclusion, as FK Jelgava prepares to take on BFC Daugavpils, our predictions highlight a close match with expectations of a low-scoring game. Fans and analysts alike will be keenly watching how these predictions unfold on match day.

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Prediction 1X2
Over/Under
Handicap Asian

Odd

Drop

Betfair Money

1x2

2.52

3.25

2.52

Odd

Drop

Over

Under

Betfair Money

2.25

0.91

0.93

2.5

1.09

0.75

Odd

Drop

Home

Away

Betfair Money

0.93

0.25

0.72

1.14

Elo data of FK Jelgava in Latvia Virsliga

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1382	81	109	56

Elo data of BFC Daugavpils in Latvia Virsliga

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1490	59	127	55

General Probability & odds

Market

Probability

Odd

Home win

31.42%

3.18

Draw

33.96%

2.94

Away win

34.5%

2.9

Under 2.5 Goals

75.59%

1.32

Over 2.5 Goals

24.29%

4.12

BTTS Yes

32.79%

3.05

BTTS No

67.09%

1.49

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)

-3

-2

-1

Probability

2.45%

8.89%

22.55%

33.96%

21.13%

7.81%

2.03%

Probality by total goals

Total goals

Probability

18.18%

30.99%

26.42%

15.01%

6.39%

2.17%

0.59%

Head to head

01.09.24

FK Jelgava

0-0

BFC Daugavpils

0-0

21.06.24

BFC Daugavpils

3-0

FK Jelgava

3-0

03.05.24

BFC Daugavpils

1-0

FK Jelgava

1-0

09.03.24

FK Jelgava

0-0

BFC Daugavpils

0-0

16.09.23

FK Jelgava

0-0

BFC Daugavpils

0-0

30.06.23

BFC Daugavpils

1-1

FK Jelgava

1-1

26.05.23

BFC Daugavpils

5-2

FK Jelgava

5-2

17.03.23

FK Jelgava

2-1

BFC Daugavpils

2-1

Win

Draw

Lost

Standings of both teams

		PTS	GP	W	D	L	GS - GC	G
1.	Rigas FS	18	7	6	0	1	15 - 5	10
2.	FK Auda	16	8	5	1	2	13 - 6	7
3.	BFC Daugavpils	13	8	4	1	3	16 - 14	2
4.	Riga FC	12	7	3	3	1	15 - 8	7
5.	Metta/LU	11	8	3	2	3	9 - 14	-5
6.	FK Liepaja	10	8	3	1	4	14 - 17	-3
7.	FK Jelgava	9	8	2	3	3	8 - 8	0
8.	SK Super Nova	6	7	1	3	3	9 - 9	0
9.	Tukums 2000	5	8	1	2	5	6 - 15	-9
10.	SC Grobinas	5	7	1	2	4	9 - 18	-9