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Toluca vs Pachuca Predictions & Stats 29 Mar 2025

  • Predictions 1X2
  • Under/Over 2.5
  • Both To Score
  • Handicap
Home team - Away team
1
×
2
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Mexico Liga MX MLM
Toluca
Pachuca
73
17
10
1
3 - 0
3.29
1.37
3 - 2
Home team - Away team
Under
Over
Betimate
Betimate
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
36.27
63.73
Over
3.29
1.27
Home team - Away team
No
Yes
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
49
51
Yes
3 - 0
3.29
2.02
Home team - Away team
Probability in%
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
51%
Home
-1
3 - 0
3.29
1.02

Match Preview: Toluca vs Pachuca in Liga MX

1x2 Predictions

In the upcoming clash between Toluca and Pachuca, our predictions indicate a strong likelihood of a home victory for Toluca. The analysis shows that Toluca has a 73.3% chance of winning the match, while the probability of a draw stands at 16.08%. Pachuca, on the other hand, is seen as the underdog with only a 10.36% chance of coming away with a win.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Looking at the goal-scoring potential of both teams, we anticipate an exciting match with a significant likelihood of high-scoring action. Our predictions suggest that there is a 63.73% chance for the game to see over 2.5 goals. Conversely, the probability of the total goals staying under 2.5 is at 36.27%.

Both Teams to Score

Regarding whether both teams will find the net, the predictions show that there is a fairly balanced expectation. With a 51.06% chance for both teams to score, and a corresponding 48.94% chance for at least one team to be held scoreless, fans can expect a competitive encounter where scoring opportunities could be shared.

Asian Handicap

When it comes to the Asian Handicap market, our analysis reveals that Toluca holds a slight edge with a home handicap of -1, having a 51.05% probability of covering this line. This indicates that while a win by a single goal could be a scenario, a two-goal margin would more firmly secure their position according to the handicap.

In summary, these predictions paint a picture of a match heavily favored towards Toluca, emphasizing their strength at home and the potential for a high-scoring game. As always, these are our predictions, and the final outcome remains to be seen on match day.

Show More Show Less
  • Prediction 1X2
  • Over/Under
  • Handicap Asian
Odd
Drop
1
x
2
Betfair Money
1x2
9
1.70
4.10
4.00
74% (79012.10$)
4% (4074.93$)
22% (23650.70$)
Odd
Drop
Over
Under
Betfair Money
3
13
0.81
1.08
3.25
5
1.03
0.86
Odd
Drop
Home
Away
Betfair Money
-0.75
13
0.93
0.99
-0.5
5
0.82
1.10

Elo data of Toluca in Mexico Liga MX

Elo Win Lose Draw
1664 155 113 97

Elo data of Pachuca in Mexico Liga MX

Elo Win Lose Draw
1534 154 113 101

General Probability & odds

Market
Probability
Odd
Home win
73.3%
1.36
Draw
16.08%
6.22
Away win
10.36%
9.65
Under 2.5 Goals
36.14%
2.77
Over 2.5 Goals
63.6%
1.57
BTTS Yes
51.06%
1.96
BTTS No
48.68%
2.05

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Probability
0.54%
2.33%
7.39%
16.08%
22.25%
21.24%
15.13%

Probality by total goals

Total goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Probability
3.73%
12.26%
20.15%
22.1%
18.18%
11.95%
6.53%

Head to head

Standings of both teams

PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1. Toluca 37 17 11 4 2 41 - 22 19
2. Club America 34 17 10 4 3 34 - 10 24
3. Cruz Azul 33 17 9 6 2 26 - 16 10
4. Tigres UANL 33 17 10 3 4 24 - 14 10
5. Necaxa 31 17 10 1 6 36 - 29 7
6. Leon 30 16 9 3 4 24 - 19 5
7. Pachuca 28 16 8 4 4 28 - 21 7
8. Monterrey 25 16 7 4 5 30 - 23 7
9. Juarez FC 24 16 6 6 4 16 - 19 -3
10. Unam Pumas 21 17 6 3 8 23 - 26 -3
11. Chivas Guadalajara 21 17 5 6 6 18 - 21 -3
12. Atlas 18 17 4 6 7 25 - 32 -7
13. Queretaro 17 16 5 2 9 15 - 24 -9
14. Mazatlan FC 17 17 4 5 8 16 - 26 -10
15. Tijuana 16 16 5 1 10 25 - 35 -10
16. Atletico San Luis 15 16 5 0 11 18 - 32 -14
17. Puebla 9 17 2 3 12 12 - 25 -13
18. Santos Laguna 7 16 2 1 13 15 - 32 -17
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Pachuca away upcoming matches

  • Statistics
  • Lineups
  • LIVE Commentary
3
Goals
2
51%
Ball Possession
49%
16
Shots
13
8
On target
3
8
Off target
10
0
Saves
4
4
Corners
1
4
Fouls
4
0
Injuries
1
0
Penalties
0
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Yellow/red cards
0
0
Reds cards
0

Starting Lineups

18
Pau Lopez (Guard)
Carlos Moreno (Guard)
25
2
Diego Zaragoza (Defender)
Daniel Aceves (Defender)
3
6
Federico Pereira (Defender)
Eduardo Bauermann (Defender)
4
4
Bruno Mendez (Defender)
Luis Rodriguez (Defender)
24
14
Marcel Ruiz (Midfielder)
Elias Montiel (Midfielder)
28
10
Ricardo Angulo (Midfielder)
Santiago Homenchenko (Midfielder)
6
20
Jesus Gallardo (Midfielder)
Owen de Jesus Gonzalez Ojeda (Midfielder)
27
16
Hector Herrera (Midfielder)
Bryan Gonzalez (Midfielder)
8
9
Alexis Vega (Forward)
Sergio Hernandez (Midfielder)
197
7
Juan Dominguez (Forward)
Salomon Rondon (Forward)
23
26
Paulinho (Forward)
John Kennedy (Forward)
10

Substitutes

22
Luis Garcia (Guard)
Jose Eulogio (Guard)
31
25
Everardo Lopez del Villar (Defender)
Carlos Adrian Sanchez Nava (Defender)
32
13
Luan (Defender)
Gustavo Cabral (Defender)
22
24
Frankie Amaya (Midfielder)
Alan Bautista (Midfielder)
26
5
Franco Romero (Midfielder)
Arturo Gonzalez (Midfielder)
14
198
Victor Arteaga (Midfielder)
Pedro Pedraza Reyna (Midfielder)
5
31
Robert Morales (Forward)
Juan Sigala (Midfielder)
240
12
Isaias Violante (Forward)
Alexei Dominguez Figueroa (Forward)
187
11
Helinho (Forward)
Illian Hernandez (Forward)
9
19
Edgar Lopez (Forward)
Oussama Idrissi (Forward)
11
No data

Mexico Liga MX Table

Pos # Team PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1 Toluca 37 17 11 4 2 41 - 22 19
2 Club America 34 17 10 4 3 34 - 10 24
3 Cruz Azul 33 17 9 6 2 26 - 16 10
4 Tigres UANL 33 17 10 3 4 24 - 14 10
5 Necaxa 31 17 10 1 6 36 - 29 7
6 Leon 30 16 9 3 4 24 - 19 5
7 Pachuca 28 16 8 4 4 28 - 21 7
8 Monterrey 25 16 7 4 5 30 - 23 7
9 Juarez FC 24 16 6 6 4 16 - 19 -3
10 Unam Pumas 21 17 6 3 8 23 - 26 -3
11 Chivas Guadalajara 21 17 5 6 6 18 - 21 -3
12 Atlas 18 17 4 6 7 25 - 32 -7
13 Queretaro 17 16 5 2 9 15 - 24 -9
14 Mazatlan FC 17 17 4 5 8 16 - 26 -10
15 Tijuana 16 16 5 1 10 25 - 35 -10
16 Atletico San Luis 15 16 5 0 11 18 - 32 -14
17 Puebla 9 17 2 3 12 12 - 25 -13
18 Santos Laguna 7 16 2 1 13 15 - 32 -17