FK Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Predictions & Stats

FK Qarabag

W D W L W W

1^st place

FK Qarabag - Neftchi Baku

04/19/2025 16:00

Azersun Arena

Azerbaijan Premier League

Neftchi Baku

W W L W L D

6^th place

Home team - Away team

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

APL

FK Qarabag

Neftchi Baku

3 - 0

4.53

1.12

3 - 0

Home team - Away team

Under

Over

Betimate

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

APL FK Qarabag Neftchi Baku 04/19/2025 16:00

17.24

82.76

Over

4.53

1.65

Home team - Away team

Yes

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

APL FK Qarabag Neftchi Baku 04/19/2025 16:00

Yes

3 - 0

4.53

Home team - Away team

Probability in%

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

APL FK Qarabag Neftchi Baku 04/19/2025 16:00

58%

Home
-2

3 - 0

4.53

1.16

Match Preview: FK Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku in the Azerbaijan Premier League

As the Azerbaijan Premier League heats up, all eyes will be on the upcoming clash between FK Qarabag and Neftchi Baku. With the match fast approaching, analysis and predictions are coming from various sources. Notably, the insights from betimate.com provide a fascinating look into what we can expect.

1x2 Predictions

In the most straightforward outcome prediction, FK Qarabag emerges as the commanding favorite with a win probability of 91.14%. This signals strong confidence in Qarabag's performance against Neftchi Baku, which is predicted to have only a 2.52% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 5.78%, making it clear that the home side is heavily favored to take all three points.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The expectations for goal-scoring are high, with the prediction predicting that the total goals will exceed 2.5 in the game at an impressive 84.33%. This suggests both teams may engage in a high-tempo, attacking style of play. Conversely, the chances of the match producing less than 2.5 goals are minimal, indicated by the 15.67% probability for the "Under."

Both Teams to Score

The analysis also delves into whether both teams will find the back of the net. Here, the prediction stands at 48.2% for "Yes," indicating a fairly even split, while "No" is slightly favored at 51.8%. This suggests that while FK Qarabag may dominate, Neftchi Baku could struggle to find scoring opportunities.

Asian Handicap

Looking at the Asian Handicap market, the figures suggest a handicap of home -3, with a probability of 43.89%. This implies that if you were to back FK Qarabag to win by more than three goals, the odds are still favorable, reflecting their strong position in the match.

In summary, the predictions from betimate.com indicate a robust showing from FK Qarabag against Neftchi Baku, with high expectations for scoring and an overall dominant performance likely. As the match day approaches, fans will be eager to see if these predictions hold true on the pitch.

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Prediction 1X2
Over/Under
Handicap Asian

Odd

Drop

Betfair Money

1x2

1.27

5.30

7.90

Odd

Drop

Over

Under

Betfair Money

2.75

0.71

1.13

0.78

1.06

Odd

Drop

Home

Away

Betfair Money

-1.5

0.84

1.02

-1.25

0.84

1.02

Elo data of FK Qarabag in Azerbaijan Premier League

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1899	209	27	53

Elo data of Neftchi Baku in Azerbaijan Premier League

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1585	137	86	63

General Probability & odds

Market

Probability

Odd

Home win

89.43%

1.12

Draw

6.87%

14.56

Away win

3.24%

30.86

Under 2.5 Goals

17.01%

5.88

Over 2.5 Goals

82.53%

1.21

BTTS Yes

50.25%

1.99

BTTS No

49.29%

2.03

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)

-3

-2

-1

Probability

0.11%

0.64%

2.48%

6.87%

13.06%

17.96%

18.9%

Probality by total goals

Total goals

Probability

1.08%

4.88%

11.05%

16.68%

18.9%

17.12%

12.92%

Head to head

16.02.25

Neftchi Baku

0-1

FK Qarabag

AZ1

0-1

01.12.24

Neftchi Baku

0-3

FK Qarabag

AZ1

0-3

20.09.24

FK Qarabag

4-0

Neftchi Baku

AZ1

4-0

04.05.24

FK Qarabag

5-0

Neftchi Baku

AZ1

5-0

24.04.24

FK Qarabag

4-1

Neftchi Baku

4-1

02.04.24

Neftchi Baku

0-4

FK Qarabag

0-4

03.03.24

Neftchi Baku

1-4

FK Qarabag

AZ1

1-4

18.12.23

FK Qarabag

2-0

Neftchi Baku

AZ1

2-0

08.10.23

Neftchi Baku

0-2

FK Qarabag

AZ1

0-2

02.05.23

Neftchi Baku

2-4

FK Qarabag

AZ1

2-4

Win

Draw

Lost

Standings of both teams

		PTS	GP	W	D	L	GS - GC	G
1.	FK Qarabag	76	31	24	4	3	77 - 18	59
2.	Zira IK	61	31	19	4	8	54 - 26	28
3.	Araz FK	53	31	14	11	6	31 - 24	7
4.	PFK Turan Tovuz	48	31	12	12	7	38 - 35	3
5.	Sabah	39	31	8	15	8	43 - 42	1
6.	Neftchi Baku	35	31	8	11	12	30 - 43	-13
7.	Shamakhi FK	34	31	9	7	15	29 - 39	-10
8.	FK Sumqayit	29	31	8	5	18	25 - 46	-21
9.	FK Kapaz	28	31	7	7	17	25 - 55	-30
10.	Sabail FC	20	31	4	8	19	25 - 49	-24