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Marilia vs Sertaozinho FC Predictions & Stats 04 Apr 2025

  • Predictions 1X2
  • Under/Over 2.5
  • Both To Score
  • Handicap
Home team - Away team
1
×
2
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 BCPA
Marilia
Sertaozinho FC
48
32
20
1
1 - 0
1.76
2.08
1 - 0
Home team - Away team
Under
Over
Betimate
Betimate
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
74.27
25.73
Under
1.76
1.48
Home team - Away team
No
Yes
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
69
31
No
1 - 0
1.76
2.37
Home team - Away team
Probability in%
Betimate
Betimate
Correct score
Avg. goals
B.O
Score
52%
Away
0
1 - 0
1.76
1.04

Match Prediction: Marilia vs Sertaozinho FC - Campeonato Paulista A3

In anticipation of the upcoming clash between Marilia and Sertaozinho FC in the Campeonato Paulista A3, we present our predictions based on various statistical analyses. Here's a detailed overview of our projections in four different betting criteria:

1x2 Prediction

In the 1x2 market, our analysis indicates that Marilia has a strong chance of securing a victory with a probability of 47.93%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 31.77%, while Sertaozinho FC appears to have a 20.2% chance of emerging victorious. These figures suggest that Marilia is favored in this matchup, but a draw could also be a possibility.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When it comes to the total goals in the game, our prediction favors a lower-scoring affair. We anticipate Under 2.5 goals to occur with a probability of 74.27%, compared to the 25.73% likelihood of the game going Over 2.5 goals. This trend indicates a potentially defensive match where both teams may struggle to find the back of the net.

Both Teams to Score

In the "Both Teams to Score" market, we project a strong inclination towards a scenario where neither team finds the net. Our prediction shows a 68.61% probability that no goals will be scored by both teams, while the chance of yes is at 31.39%. This highlights expectations of a tightly contested game, with defenses likely to take precedence over attacking play.

Asian Handicap

For the Asian handicap market, our prediction suggests a significant possibility of Marilia covering a -0 handicap with a 47.93% probability. This indicates that the analysts believe Marilia is likely to not only win the match but do so by more than one goal, making them the strong favorite according to this betting line.

In conclusion, our forecasts suggest a competitive match between Marilia and Sertaozinho FC, with Marilia being favored to win. However, we advise bettors to remain cautious given the projected low-scoring probabilities and the likelihood of a closely contested encounter.

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Elo data of Marilia in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3

Elo Win Lose Draw
1593 57 46 40

Elo data of Sertaozinho FC in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3

Elo Win Lose Draw
1569 36 38 30

General Probability & odds

Market
Probability
Odd
Home win
47.93%
2.09
Draw
31.77%
3.15
Away win
20.2%
4.95
Under 2.5 Goals
74.22%
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
25.68%
3.89
BTTS Yes
31.39%
3.19
BTTS No
68.51%
1.46

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Probability
0.82%
4.22%
15.04%
31.77%
27.32%
13.92%
4.97%

Probality by total goals

Total goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Probability
17.26%
30.33%
26.63%
15.59%
6.83%
2.39%
0.69%

Standings of both teams

PTS GP W D L GS - GC G
1. Monte Azul SP 30 15 8 6 1 27 - 14 13
2. Marilia 28 15 8 4 3 24 - 17 7
3. Desportivo Brasil 25 15 7 4 4 19 - 16 3
4. Sertaozinho FC 25 15 6 7 2 14 - 8 6
5. Catanduva FC 24 15 7 3 5 17 - 17 0
6. Rio Branco SP 23 15 6 5 4 25 - 15 10
7. Uniao Sao Joao 22 15 6 4 5 18 - 13 5
8. Itapirense 20 15 6 2 7 14 - 13 1
9. Rio Preto 20 15 5 5 5 12 - 14 -2
10. Uniao Suzano 17 15 5 2 8 15 - 22 -7
11. XV de Jau 17 15 4 5 6 9 - 12 -3
12. AA Francana 17 15 3 8 4 17 - 19 -2
13. EC Sao Bernardo 16 15 3 7 5 11 - 15 -4
14. Bandeirante 15 15 4 3 8 12 - 20 -8
15. EC Lemense 13 15 3 4 8 12 - 21 -9
16. Comercial FC 11 15 2 5 8 8 - 18 -10
More [+]
  • Statistics
  • Lineups
  • LIVE Commentary
1
Goals
0
52%
Ball Possession
48%
18
Shots
8
6
On target
3
12
Off target
5
9
Corners
5
0
Penalties
0
2
Yellow cards
3
1
Yellow/red cards
0
1
Reds cards
0
No data
No data