Bayern Munich vs PSG Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips 08/03/2023

In the second leg of the round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League, Bayern Munich will take on Paris Saint-Germain at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday.

By: Harry Siuu

03/06/2023 04:00

[UEFA Champion League Prediction] This will be PSG and Bayern Munich's 12th competitive match, with the first 11 meetings taking place in the UEFA Champions League. The two teams have an almost equal head-to-head record, with Paris Saint-Germain's six victories only outpacing Bayern's five.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Prediction: Recent performance and H2H Stats

Bayern Munich enters this match after defeating Bruno Labbadia's Stuttgart 2-1 in the league. Bayern Munich, managed by Julian Nagelsmann, won thanks to goals from Dutch center back Matthijs de Ligt and Cameroonian attacker Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting. On the other side, Nantes were defeated 4-2 by Paris Saint-Germain in league play. Paris Saint-Germain, captained by Christophe Galtier, won the match thanks to goals from Argentine superstar Lionel Messi, Portuguese midfielder Danilo Pereira, French forward Kylian Mbappe, as well as an own goal from left-back Jaouen Hadjam.

Bayern Munich’s last 5 matches

Bayern Munich is presently undefeated in 19 games across all competitions (W15 D4), with their most recent competitive loss occurring against Augsburg in the Bundesliga on September 17, 2022. After going 20 games without a loss between September 2020 and January 2021 under former manager Hansi Flick, this is their longest undefeated streak in competitive play.

Bayern Munich’s last 5 matches

They have won and scored at least three goals in each of their past three contests (11 total goals), defeating Mainz 4-0 in the DFB Pokal and Wolfsburg (4-2) and Bochum (4-2) in the league. Kingsley Coman has scored three goals in his team's three games in February, and Jamal Musiala and Thomas Müller have combined for two goals and two assists for three of their team's 11 goals.
PSG’s last 5 matches

PSG's last 5 matches

Paris Saint-Germain enters this game coming off of back-to-back losses in the span of four days, including a 2-1 Cup de France loss to Marseille and a weekend setback in Monaco. Since September 2020, when they suffered their first three consecutive losses in competitive games, they haven't done so. The losing streak began in the Champions League against Bayern Munich.

PSG's last 5 matches

The situation is different at home for PSG. The Ligue 1 club's last competitive loss at Parc de Princes was in April 2021 against Man City in the Champions League. They are undefeated in their past 40 home games in all competitions (W33 D7). At an average of 2.56 goals per game, they have scored in 23 straight home games across all competitions.

Bayern Munich vs PSG H2H stats

In the seven head-to-head encounters between the teams, Bayern Munich has won five and lost two. The striker for Bayern Munich, Jamal Musiala, has started 19 league games and assisted on 19 goals. International Cameroonian Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting has scored 10 goals in 13 league starts for Bayern Munich this season. Forward Kylian Mbappe has started 20 league games for Paris Saint-Germain this season and has contributed to 21 goals. At Paris Saint-Germain, the legendary Argentine Lionel Messi has started 21 league games and has so far assisted in 25 goals.

Bayern Munich vs PSG H2H stats

Bayern Munich vs PSG Current Odds

Now, let us check a few of the other betting markets and top odds for this match:

Bayern Munich vs PSG Current Odds

Handicap Odds: Bayern Munich(1.08) / PSG (2.85)
1x2 Odds: Bayern Munich(1.88) / Draw (4.40) / PSG (3.75)
Over/Under Goals: Over 3.5 (2.23) | Under 2.5 (1.65)
Both Teams To Score: Yes (1.50) | No (2.55)

Bayern Munich vs PSG Betting Tips

Bayern Munich to win

Although putting up a strong display in the French capital, Bayern Munich could have won by a margin higher than 1-0 when they traveled to PSG for the Round of 16 opening leg. Bayern made 18 efforts compared to Paris's nine on the night, and given their performance in the first leg, the Bavarians appear to be deserving favorites to repeat as winners in their next meeting. Our initial Bayern Munich vs. PSG prediction predicts another victory for the German champions due to home-field advantage.

Over 2.5 goals

In the first leg between PSG and Bayern Munich in Paris, just one goal was scored, surprising most onlookers. But, we predict that the goals will flow more freely in the final match between the two titans. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of PSG's previous six Champions League away games, and more excitement may be in store when the Ligue 1 team seeks parity in Germany. Expect pyrotechnics at the Allianz Arena because there will be so much offensive skill on show.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Best Tips from Betimate

Bayern Munich 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain

The supercomputer predicts that Bayern will win their fourth Champions League title this year, and their seventh overall if you count European Cups. Compared to Manchester City (18.87%), Serie A leaders Napoli (10.76%), defending UCL champion Real Madrid (7.22%), and Liverpool (6.51%), Nagelsmann's team has a 25.87% probability of winning. Paris Saint-Germain's failure to win their group hasn't been helpful to them. They ultimately finished Group H ahead of Juventus and Maccabi Haifa on away goals scored, but it was always going to be a tough matchup for them whoever they faced because second-place qualifiers for the round of 16 were not seeded. Therefore, despite having top stars in the team, the chance of making magic in Allianz is not high for PSG, so a win for the hosts can be predictable.

Bayern Munich 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain