Auxerre vs Montpellier Predictions & Stats

Auxerre

L W D D D D

11^th place

Auxerre - Montpellier

03/30/2025 15:15

Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps

France Ligue 1

Montpellier

L L L W L L

18^th place

Home team - Away team

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

FL1

Auxerre

Montpellier

1 - 0

2.32

1.52

1 - 0

Home team - Away team

Under

Over

Betimate

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

FL1 Auxerre Montpellier 03/30/2025 15:15

59.06

40.94

Under

2.32

1.18

Home team - Away team

Yes

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

FL1 Auxerre Montpellier 03/30/2025 15:15

1 - 0

2.32

2.28

Home team - Away team

Probability in%

Betimate

Correct score

Avg. goals

B.O

Score

FL1 Auxerre Montpellier 03/30/2025 15:15

61%

Away
+1

1 - 0

2.32

1.22

Match Preview: Auxerre vs Montpellier in Ligue 1

As anticipation builds for the upcoming clash between Auxerre and Montpellier, our predictive analysis offers some insights into what fans might expect from this intense encounter. Below, we break down four key criteria that can offer a glimpse into the match dynamics.

1X2 Predictions

According to our predictions, Auxerre is favored to secure a victory with a probability of 66.08%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 22.32%, while Montpellier has a relatively slim chance of winning, estimated at 11.46%. These figures suggest that Auxerre holds the upper hand heading into this fixture.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When it comes to total goals scored in the match, we predict that there is a 40.94% chance that the game will see over 2.5 goals. Conversely, the 59.06% probability indicates that the match might end with fewer than 2.5 goals. Fans might want to brace themselves for a potentially low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score

Our analysis shows a 35.83% likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net. On the other hand, there is a notable 64.17% probability that at least one team will keep a clean sheet on the day. This could influence the tactical approaches taken by both managers.

Asian Handicap

The Asian Handicap market sees Auxerre favored with a -1 handicap, with a probability of 38.77% for this to be successful. This indicates that for Auxerre to cover the spread, they would need to win by at least two goals, which adds another layer of strategy to this match-up.

In summary, our predictions suggest that Auxerre enters the match as strong favorites, but the possibilities remain open, underscoring the unpredictable nature of football. Fans should prepare for what promises to be an exciting game in Ligue 1.

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Prediction 1X2
Over/Under
Handicap Asian

Odd

Drop

Betfair Money

1x2

1.86

3.85

4.00

65% (168619.00$)

20% (51256.90$)

16% (41395.10$)

Odd

Drop

Over

Under

Betfair Money

2.75

0.96

0.94

Odd

Drop

Home

Away

Betfair Money

-0.75

1.08

0.84

-0.5

0.87

1.05

Elo data of Auxerre in France Ligue 1

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1516	16	29	19

Elo data of Montpellier in France Ligue 1

Elo	Win	Lose	Draw
1404	126	146	96

General Probability & odds

Market

Probability

Odd

Home win

66.08%

1.51

Draw

22.32%

4.48

Away win

11.46%

8.73

Under 2.5 Goals

58.99%

1.7

Over 2.5 Goals

40.87%

2.45

BTTS Yes

35.83%

2.79

BTTS No

64.03%

1.56

Probality by diff Goals for Home team

Diff Goals (Home/Away)

-3

-2

-1

Probability

0.37%

2.18%

8.87%

22.32%

27.31%

20.72%

11.22%

Probality by total goals

Total goals

Probability

9.79%

22.76%

26.44%

20.47%

11.88%

5.51%

2.11%

Head to head

22.09.24

Montpellier

3-2

Auxerre

FR1

3-2

29.01.23

Auxerre

0-2

Montpellier

FR1

0-2

21.08.22

Montpellier

1-2

Auxerre

FR1

1-2

Win

Draw

Lost

Standings of both teams

		PTS	GP	W	D	L	GS - GC	G
1.	PSG	77	29	24	5	0	82 - 27	55
2.	Marseille	55	30	17	4	9	62 - 42	20
3.	Monaco	54	30	16	6	8	57 - 35	22
4.	Lille	53	30	15	8	7	47 - 32	15
5.	Nice	51	30	14	9	7	56 - 38	18
6.	Lyon	51	30	15	6	9	58 - 41	17
7.	Strasbourg	51	30	14	9	7	48 - 37	11
8.	Lens	45	30	13	6	11	35 - 33	2
9.	Brest	44	30	13	5	12	48 - 49	-1
10.	Rennes	38	30	12	2	16	45 - 40	5
11.	Auxerre	38	30	10	8	12	41 - 45	-4
12.	Toulouse	34	30	9	7	14	38 - 39	-1
13.	Reims	32	30	8	8	14	32 - 42	-10
14.	Nantes	30	29	7	9	13	34 - 49	-15
15.	Angers	30	30	8	6	16	29 - 48	-19
16.	Le Havre	27	30	8	3	19	33 - 64	-31
17.	St Etienne	27	30	7	6	17	33 - 68	-35
18.	Montpellier	15	30	4	3	23	22 - 71	-49